Professor Whose Economic Model Predicted Trump Win In 2016 Says President Will Beat Biden
John Antonakis, a professor of Organisational Behaviour from Switzerland’s Lausanne University, said the model’s projection for 2020 put Trump ahead of Democratic challenger Joe Biden in the race for the White House. However, Antonakis cautioned the forecast—which takes into account economic conditions, incumbency effect and candidates’ relative charisma levels—was presented “with humility” given the complicating “fog” produced by the coronavirus pandemic. The model used by Antonakis was developed in collaboration with Professor Philippe Jacquart, an associate professor of organizational behavior and leadership at the Lyon-based Emlyon Business School in France....